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Archive for the ‘Economy’ Category

Definition of Insanity

Saturday, April 4th, 2009

Do you ever feel like you’re going insane? Do you do the same things over and over again expecting a different result? Is your business becoming more and more like Groundhog’s day? That’s the real definition of insanity. How do you avoid going insane? Here are some of my free-wheeling thoughts.

1. Understand your motivation. What is driving you to do what you do each and every day? Are you someone who always seeks comfort and predictability? Do you value work/life balance? If you don’t know why you are going to work each day, you’ll be doing the same things over and over again with the same results. By understanding your motivation, you’ll have a clear idea of what you need to change in order to generate real results. For example, I’m motivated by competition and playing the game right, I enjoy winning which drives me to constantly evaluate strategy and execution. At times though, I’ll get in a rut and realize that I’m not driven by winning, rather I’m driven by “playing not to lose” - which in my mind is the dumbest way to play. For me, understanding which way I’m playing helps me stay focused on results.

2. Challenge yourself everyday with something uncomfortable. Now, not for the sake of doing so, but because you are doing something valuable for your company. For example, if you don’t write well, write a blog post for your company today. If you don’t know how to cold call, do it - call three potential clients today. If you don’t enjoy networking, invite a potential mentor to lunch today. The more you are challenged with new things each day, the more you’ll be able to see opportunities that will open doors for you.

3. Take responsibility. Honestly, I’m sick and tired of hearing entrepreneurs complain about the economy instead of taking responsibility for the decisions they are making. Everyone is in the same boat, the great entrepreneurs are the ones that are able to adapt, make decisions given incomplete information, and take responsibility for their own decisions. Blaming the economy is an easy way to continue doing the same things and avoiding the tough decisions that need to be made in this environment. Another thing that drives me absolutely nuts are companies that survive by leeching off of others, in other words, building a business around suing other businesses and people instead of building real businesses or competing. Build value, take responsibility, and stop the nonsense of detracting value.

The past Bush administration post 9/11 asked all Americans to step it up and spend to keep our economy growing. The biggest insanity in the US is that we think spending and debt will bring about a sustainable economy. Time and time again, it’s been proven that spending and debt both personally and as a country is unsustainable. We tend to spend on assets that decline in value, automobiles, Ipods, Iphones, TV’s, overpriced homes, etc. What we need is to have a healthy mix of saving and investing in assets that provide a return. It means that we must do things differently, we must live below our means (both personally and collectively), we must invest wisely, and we must save more. It’ll mean more short-term pain, but in the long-term it’s sustainable and bubbles of the past may be minimized in the future.

This post was written by Andy Liu, a serial entrepreneur and angel investor. Andy currently runs BuddyTV, sits on several boards, and blogs at InspiredStartup about staring and growing successful businesses.

Posted in Economy, Inspiration, Startup survival | No Comments »

Shocking Truth about the Economy - We Need More Hope!

Monday, March 30th, 2009

Big picture folks - we are in a bad, vicious, negative economic cycle with no end in sight. I hate to repeat bad news, but we’re in for a much longer recessionary period than we can imagine. Even though I’m not an economist, I’ll try to highlight in this post why we’re in for a long dark period and how we’re going to get out of it (hint: it’s not the government).

We’ve gone through a tremendous period of leverage where everyone was able to get credit, this led to assets to being way overvalued (stocks, homes, businesses). This took a while and it will take a while to get out of this. The US government is also highly leveraged, the stimulus bill and new bills to be passed will add trillions to our debt. The credit markets are still badly frozen. All this on top of a recession where people are losing jobs and unable to pay mortgages, education which leads to more freezing of the credit markets. What does this mean?

Brace yourself for massive de-leveraging around the globe. It’s already happening. Less leverage and reducing leverage means asset prices come down significantly (housing, stocks, etc) and at worse, deflation starts happening. This benefits savers whose cash now reigns supreme and it goes further than ever before. However, savers are not spenders and they can’t leverage their cash either - so it stifles the economy even more. You’re already seeing the US saving more and spending less, good in principle, bad for stimulus. It’s going to be a long time before we emerge. A good baseball analogy is that we’re probably in the bottom of the 2nd inning.

So the solution is the government, right? NOT! As you already saw with the TARP (which I incorrectly supported), the money didn’t loosen up the credit markets at all. The stimulus package while nice, isn’t going to be enough to stimulate the economy. We’ve got commercial assets that are very toxic, stocks that are still overvalued, earnings that are still taking a beating. The government doesn’t have a great track record for producing great results, no disrespect to Obama. Anyone who is betting on the government to solve their problems will be sorely disappointed.

What we need is a big dose of HOPE for everyone.

Hope

Imagine if everyone lived a life full of Hope and Inspiration instead of negativity. How fast do you think we can recover as a nation, as a world? I know some of you think I’m pretty negative in this post, honestly, I’m not. My personal belief is that we’re in a cycle of negativity which is keeping everyone down and totally blind to seeing opportunities. I got to hang out with some folks at a retreat last week and everyone was seeing opportunities and going for it. Imagine if everyone was doing that, imagine if we had entrepreneurs around the world seeing opportunities and taking risks, having hope for a better future. They’d employ people, they’d focus on solving problems, they’d seek to build sustaining operations with profitable enterprises. What about social entrepreneurship?

Imagine if you could build a successful business in this environment, what your business would like when we emerge from the recession. It’s time we stop expecting the government to get out of this mess, we must have more hope and inspiration and set an example for other entrepreneurs to work hard, innovate, create, lead, and pull others up.

Isn’t it time that we lifted our eyes out of the darkness of negativity and start seeing hope and pursuing dreams today?

This post was written by Andy Liu, a serial entrepreneur and angel investor. Andy currently runs BuddyTV, sits on several boards, and blogs at InspiredStartup about staring and growing successful businesses.

Tags: Economy, hope, startups
Posted in Economy, Startup survival | No Comments »

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